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Posts Tagged ‘cmbs’

The losses on troubled CMBS loans has escalated by 33% over the past year, with recovery around 43 cents on the dollar.  Many analysts expect losses to continue an upward climb this year, or in other words declining property values mean increasing loss severities. The average loss severity rate for CMBS loans resolved in 2009 was [...]

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Ok, so it’s no Ferrari-like speeds for the commercial real estate market recovery, but the first signs of some promising momentum comes on the distressed properties track. For the past 2+ years distressed property offerings have sat pretty much untouched while buyers tried to determine the best time to re-enter the market (ie. when values hit bottom and stabilized).  It [...]

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Look out Lindsey Vonn, CMBS loans are moving faster downhill than even she can keep up with, injured or not. According to latest Fitch Ratings’ weekly report on the status of the CMBS mess, larger batches of U.S. CMBS loans are moving to special servicing (meaning they are in default) at alpine downhill speeds.  In January 2010, [...]

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The trend of higher delinquency rates for commercial properties continued its storied climb this month, for the fifth month in a row, finishing at 6% last month.  Hotels continue to be the hardest hit, with Extended Stay America now delinquent on a large loan and contributing  greatly to the 129 basis-point increase. Most analysts predict the increase will [...]

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Not to be a dark cloud about our ”recovery” (though those who know me expect nothing less) but there are some serious issues yet to be dealt with in the banking system.  These “aftershocks” are going to be felt, the question is how bad will the damage be? In 2009, the FDIC sustained losses of over $36 billion due [...]

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It would appear the world of commercial real estate is only just beginning to show it’s true frailty as a result of the recession.  Continued job losses have led to increased loan defaults. Add on hotel underperformance and you have the  makings of yet another increase in Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities  (“CMBS”) delinquencies. CMBS late-pays in the U.S. jumped [...]

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In keeping with Huey Lewis’ popular 80′s movie song “Back in Time”, it appears that is where commercial real estate (CRE) is headed.  Over the past two years we have seen extensive damage from the devaluation of commercial real estate assets acquired during the peak years of 2006-2007. But now a new concern is rising that properties [...]

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According to a new report from Costar News, the number of properties under distress and delinquent loans are up by 50% in 2009.  Some eye-popping statistics include: Specially Serviced CMBS Loans  – loans that are delinquent or reached maturity without pay off or have ongoing issues with credit problems involving tenants or borrowers. Jan. 2009 – [...]

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The latest report from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reflects a rise in delinquency rates on commercial real estate loans. The delinquency rate on commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) overdue by 30 days or more escalated from 1.85% to 3.89% from first to second quarter. Fannie Mae backed loans with a 60 day delinquency rose from 0.34% [...]

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Just today, I was discussing this very topic with people I met at a local lunch event. The impending commercial mortgage issue is a doozy and while the economy is showing signs of bottoming out and turning toward a slow, slow recovery many believe this is a recession/recovery looking more like a “W” than a “V” or “U”.  [...]

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